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White Christmas is off! Met Workplace say there may be ‘little signal’ of wintry climate on Christmas Day with heat 13C weekend forward – however Britain remains to be on flood watch as amber warning is issued for heavy rain in Scotland

White Christmas is off! Met Workplace say there may be ‘little signal’ of wintry climate on Christmas Day with heat 13C weekend forward – however Britain remains to be on flood watch as amber warning is issued for heavy rain in Scotland


Hopes of a White Christmas are diminishing after the Met Workplace stated there was ‘little signal of any widespread or extreme chilly and wintry climate’ round December 25.

However meteorologists additionally stated there might be ‘small quantities of hill snow within the North’ subsequent week – and ‘snow and ice’ was nonetheless potential between Christmas and New 12 months.

There may be additionally an elevated likelihood of colder spells into January, with the potential for a ‘extra extended spell of chilly climate growing round mid-month’.

This weekend elements of the UK are set to get pleasure from unseasonably heat climate with highs of 13C (55F) at the moment and tomorrow – 6C above the December daytime common.

However heavy rain will hit areas of Scotland with the Met Workplace activating an amber climate warning for north-western areas amid fears as much as 8in (200mm) may fall.

And plenty of elements of England remained on flood watch, with 27 warnings and 117 alerts in place at the moment – together with one for the River Thames between Putney and Chertsey.

Flooded fields in the market town of St Ives in Cambridgeshire are pictured this morning

Flooded fields available in the market city of St Ives in Cambridgeshire are pictured this morning

A dog walker makes her way down a muddy lane at Dunsden in Oxfordshire this morning

A dog walker makes her way down a muddy lane at Dunsden in Oxfordshire this morning

A canine walker makes her method down a muddy lane at Dunsden in Oxfordshire this morning

Vehicles are driven through flooded lanes in the Oxfordshire countryside at Dunsden today

Vehicles are driven through flooded lanes in the Oxfordshire countryside at Dunsden today

Autos are pushed by way of flooded lanes within the Oxfordshire countryside at Dunsden at the moment

A beautiful sunrise over Wimbledon in South West London today on a cold and frosty morning

A beautiful sunrise over Wimbledon in South West London today on a cold and frosty morning

A fantastic dawn over Wimbledon in South West London at the moment on a chilly and frosty morning

A deer leaps over a low wall at a frosty Bushy Park in South West London this morning

A deer leaps over a low wall at a frosty Bushy Park in South West London this morning

A deer leaps over a low wall at a frosty Bushy Park in South West London this morning

The Environment Agency has issued flood alerts (in amber) and warnings (in red) for England

The Environment Agency has issued flood alerts (in amber) and warnings (in red) for England

The Surroundings Company has issued flood alerts (in amber) and warnings (in purple) for England

Heavy rain will hit areas of Scotland with the Met Office activating an amber weather warning

Heavy rain will hit areas of Scotland with the Met Office activating an amber weather warning

Heavy rain will hit areas of Scotland with the Met Workplace activating an amber climate warning

The Met Workplace’s long-range forecast for subsequent Tuesday till December 28 states: ‘Initially gentle, moist and windy in southern areas earlier than clearing away leaving circumstances unsettled with showers of rain throughout western coasts and a few hill snow affecting north-western areas, clearer to the east.

Met Workplace’s UK lengthy vary climate forecast

December 19 to December 28

‘Initially gentle, moist and windy in southern areas earlier than clearing away leaving circumstances unsettled with showers of rain throughout western coasts and a few hill snow affecting north-western areas, clearer to the east. Late within the week potential for a light spell within the south as rain strikes in with some small quantities of hill snow within the north earlier than a interval of extra north or north-westerly winds with showers throughout coasts and turning wintry over hills. however clearer within the south, this probably recurring by way of the interval with milder and wetter westerly durations interspersed with a danger of with colder north-westerly or northerly circumstances and showers, some wintry over hills, for a time. Nonetheless, at this stage there may be little signal of any widespread or extreme chilly and wintry climate.’

December 29 to January 12

‘Most definitely persevering with unsettled with bands of rain crossing the UK with brighter circumstances and showers in between. The wettest and windiest circumstances are almost definitely within the north and northwest. Brief-lived colder spells stay potential, with hazards similar to snow and ice, significantly within the north. The possibility of those colder spells will increase shifting into January, with a low chance of a extra extended spell of chilly climate growing round mid-month.’

‘Late within the week potential for a light spell within the south as rain strikes in with some small quantities of hill snow within the north earlier than a interval of extra north or north-westerly winds with showers throughout coasts and turning wintry over hills.

‘However clearer within the south, this probably recurring by way of the interval with milder and wetter westerly durations interspersed with a danger of with colder north-westerly or northerly circumstances and showers, some wintry over hills, for a time. Nonetheless, at this stage there may be little signal of any widespread or extreme chilly and wintry climate.’

Trying additional forward to the interval of December 29 till January 12, the Met Workplace states: ‘Most definitely persevering with unsettled with bands of rain crossing the UK with brighter circumstances and showers in between.

‘The wettest and windiest circumstances are almost definitely within the north and northwest. Brief-lived colder spells stay potential, with hazards similar to snow and ice, significantly within the north.

‘The possibility of those colder spells will increase shifting into January, with a low chance of a extra extended spell of chilly climate growing round mid-month.’

Extra pressingly, at the moment began off vibrant and chilly for a lot of with loads of sunshine within the east after morning mist cleared.

There was extra cloud for Northern Eire and western Scotland with some showers to start out – earlier than cloud will unfold eastwards by way of the day with a strengthening, south-westerly wind and late rain.

Tonight will likely be dry for England and Wales with a number of clear spells however staying largely cloudy.

Rain will develop into heavier for western Scotland in a single day with some drizzly spells of rain for jap Scotland and Northern Eire too. It would then be a light finish to the night time with a gusty south-westerly wind.

Met Workplace meteorologist Aidan McGivern stated: ‘Excessive stress dominates the UK’s climate this weekend, however that does not essentially imply it may be dry or settled as a result of in lots of locations it will likely be moist and windy.

‘That is as a result of excessive stress is sitting to the south and on the northern flank of that prime, we have tightly packed isobars – which means robust winds.

How probably is snow at Christmas in Britain? 

Forecasters say that basically, the UK is much extra prone to see snow between January and March than in December.

Information present snow or sleet falls a median of three.9 days in December, in comparison with 5.3 days in January, 5.6 days in February and 4.2 days in March.

White Christmases have been additionally way more common within the 18th and nineteenth centuries, particularly earlier than the change of calendar in 1752 which successfully pushed again Christmas Day by 12 days.

The Met Workplace defines a white Christmas when one snowflake is noticed falling within the 24 hours of December 25 someplace within the UK.

The nationwide climate service states that it could possibly ‘precisely forecast if snow is probably going on any given Christmas Day as much as 5 days beforehand’.

Since 1960, round half of the years have seen no less than 5 per cent of the community document snow falling on Christmas Day.

However there has solely been a widespread masking on the bottom – the place greater than 40 per cent of UK stations reported this at 9am – 4 instances since that 12 months.

These events have been in 1981, 1995, 2009 and 2010.

Final 12 months was technically a white Christmas on condition that 9 per cent of stations recorded snow falling on December 25, though none had snow mendacity on the bottom.

Earlier than that 2021 and 2020 have been additionally white Christmases, with 6 per cent of climate stations recording snow falling in each years.

However in 2021 lower than 1 per cent of stations had snow mendacity on the bottom, whereas the determine was simply 4 per cent in 2020.

There was no document of snow falling at any UK station in 2018 or 2019.

Christmas 2010 was very uncommon, on condition that there snow on the bottom at 83 per cent of stations, which was the best quantity ever recorded.

As well as, snow or sleet additionally fell at 19 per cent of stations.

One 12 months earlier in 2009, there was additionally a white Christmas when 13 per cent of stations recorded snow or sleet falling, and 57 per cent had snow mendacity on the bottom.

‘The winds are coming from the west – they’re going to carry intensive cloud they usually’ll carry outbreaks of rain, significantly for north west Scotland.’

He stated these winds would additionally carry gentle air and this will likely be noticeable particularly by night time with early temperatures tomorrow within the double figures throughout Scotland, Northern Eire, elements of western England and Wales.

Even the South and East of England will likely be frost free, though it might be round 5C or 6C in these areas ‘given some cloud breaks and lighter winds in a single day’.

Mr McGivern continued: ‘However after all that is the place we’ll see one of the best of the sunny spells very first thing Saturday, the Midlands, southern England, jap England maybe seeing some cloud breaks by way of the day.

‘Japanese Scotland may see the odd cloud break in addition to the air dries up over the upper floor to the west.

‘However for a lot of western elements of the UK, we’ll see pretty thick cloud for Wales, northern England, southern Scotland and Northern Eire. Some outbreaks of sunshine rain and drizzle, particularly over hills. There will likely be some hill fog as properly.’

He stated it was northern Scotland the place the rain can be persistent all through at the moment and the weekend and it will likely be heavy at instances, significantly for North West Scotland – accompanied by gale-force winds in uncovered coasts and hilly areas.

He added that the wind can be ‘bouncing over the hills of northern England to carry some robust wind gusts simply downwind of these hills’.

Mr McGivern continued: ‘For North East England, we may see wind gusts approaching 50mph.

‘After all with that wind it is not going to really feel very nice even when temperatures are technically above common for the time of 12 months, 12C, 13C, maybe a contact extra in a few of the hotter spots throughout jap Scotland and North East England.’

Into tomorrow night time, he stated the rain ‘will pop up for a time as a climate entrance simply wriggles throughout northern Scotland’, including: ‘And people rainfall totals actually will mount up by way of the three days from Friday to Sunday.’

Nonetheless, there’s a likelihood Scotland may expertise its warmest December night time on document, with temperatures within the east of the nation doubtlessly rising to across the present document of 12.5C tomorrow night time.

In the meantime, temperatures may attain 10C in the course of the night time in some areas of central England, in contrast with a median night-time temperature of 1.4C in December within the UK.

A bounce can be anticipated in daytime temperatures with the South West presumably reaching 13C at the moment and tomorrow, which is six levels hotter than the December daytime common for the UK.

However the Met Workplace made clear that whereas the daytime bounce was ‘uncommon’ it was much less exceptional than its in a single day counterpart.

A woman walks her dog through the snow at Castleside in County Durham on Boxing Day 2021

A woman walks her dog through the snow at Castleside in County Durham on Boxing Day 2021

A lady walks her canine by way of the snow at Castleside in County Durham on Boxing Day 2021 

Snow covers houses in the Northumberland town of Hexham on Christmas Day 2020

Snow covers houses in the Northumberland town of Hexham on Christmas Day 2020

Snow covers homes within the Northumberland city of Hexham on Christmas Day 2020

Snow covered fields near Cheltenham are seen from Queens Wood on Boxing Day 2010

Snow covered fields near Cheltenham are seen from Queens Wood on Boxing Day 2010

Snow lined fields close to Cheltenham are seen from Queens Wooden on Boxing Day 2010

The forecasting physique stated the UK exceeded 13C in the course of the day in December final 12 months.

Mr McGivern continued: ‘However ultimately on Sunday, the entrance does begin to sink south throughout the UK to alleviate the wind and rain throughout Scotland, however carry wetter and windy circumstances additional south.

‘We begin off Sunday although, the place we left issues on Saturday with moist and windy climate for Scotland. Finally, after a light begin, the cloud, wind and rain sink south and it’ll flip a lot wetter for northern England, for North Wales and west Wales in addition to Northern Eire.

‘The heaviest of the rain will likely be throughout the hills of North Wales and northern England for a time, nevertheless it does keep dry for South and South East England, albeit somewhat cloudy and breezy, definitely windier in contrast with Saturday.

‘Temperatures nonetheless getting up into the double figures, however nonetheless probably not feeling prefer it. Some clearance to the climate for North West Scotland although lastly, after three days of rain.’

He stated the rainfall totals may rise up to 8in (200mm) for a few of the most uncovered hills of North West Scotland, which ‘may trigger extra points’, which is why a climate warning was imposed.

Trying forward, Mr McGivern added: ‘Into the beginning of subsequent week, the climate stays pretty blustery. There will be additional spells of rain, significantly throughout the hills of Wales and northern England.’



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Written by bourbiza mohamed

Bourbiza Mohamed is a freelance journalist and political science analyst holding a Master's degree in Political Science. Armed with a sharp pen and a discerning eye, Bourbiza Mohamed contributes to various renowned sites, delivering incisive insights on current political and social issues. His experience translates into thought-provoking articles that spur dialogue and reflection.

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